Tuesday, March 25, 2008

Internet Thought: Moving graphs of OECD broadband penetration

I used the OECD stats on broadband and pc use to make a graph moving through time. I use Google spreadsheet and apps to do this. Look at my new blog http://internetthought.blogspot.com

Tuesday, March 18, 2008

No Broadband means no Mobile Broadband

over on Internet Thought I posted on why if you don't have Broadband in a region you will not have mobile broadband either.

Monday, March 17, 2008

Two FTTH projects fail and more trouble in The Netherlands

Two projects supported by Reggefiber have had to face defeat. Both were unable to reach the required sign-up rate for the project to commence. See more at my new blog Internet Thought

Sunday, March 09, 2008

Internet Thought: Misconceptions on interconnection

Please go here to find my rant on interconnection Update your RSS accordingly

New Post at Internet Thought on submarine fibre

Move your RSS feeds (all fifty of you) I'm now posting at Internet Thought :-)

What Submarine Fibre costs

Pretty soon I will be the Submarine fibre blogger if my posts continue the way they do. However I found a very interesting quote throught the ITU's/Strategic Policy Unit Blog. They link to an article in Business Daily Africa, which shows the costs of running the TEAMs project (wiki entry), to run fibre to the east of Africa. Those joining in the project expect an Internal Rate of Return of 32.71 per cent with a pay back of 2.4 years. Not a bad return for a fibre that's supposed to last 25 years. Current prices of connectivity are $5000 dollar per month (satellite only I believe) and the government hopes to go to $500/month in a couple of years. Though UUNET says this can't be achieved.

Friday, March 07, 2008

Last Post! Moving to Internet Thought

After years of using Lunatic Thought, it just started to sound really lame. I'm no idiot.. no raving lunatic and not really funny either. I just do internet and telecoms on multiple levels. So here it is: Internet Thought! Everything is the same, just the name is different, so update your RSS feeds! (I'll crosspost for a while and take some interesting posts here.)

Thursday, March 06, 2008

OECD Workshop on Fibre Investment and Policy Challenges, Stavanger, Norway, 10-11 April 2008

The aim of the Workshop is to examine fibre investment across the OECD and look for best practices across a range of investment scenarios. The Draft agenda of the Workshop is available in PDF format. Yours truly will also give a presentation with the title: Dig or wait: Is now the best time to roll out fibre? (Funny thing; they already have the title. I haven't even started making the presentation yet) Oh well, I don't need to find a catchy title ;-)

My session will be: Investment opportunities and challenges
The investment session will look at the opportunities and challenges facing existing communication operators and new market entrants (e.g. utilities) as they work to expand fibre coverage. The session will evaluate situations where investment makes economic sense for private firms and other situations where governments may need to play a more active role. It will look at the track record of various public/private sector partnerships and attempt to find some effective recommendations.

Tuesday, March 04, 2008

OECD on Global Opportunities for Internet Access Development

The OECD published a great interview with its senior economist Dr. Sam Paltridge on Global Opportunities for Internet Access Development. He also wrote a paper on the subject which is a great read. Some snippets that I liked alot

Q.What role do Internet Exchange Points (IXPs) play in the creation of Internet service?
Name withheld

A. IXPs are places where different Internet networks can physically interconnect to send and receive traffic between their networks. Following the commercialization of the Internet they rapidly spread around the world to enable service providers to economically and efficiently exchange traffic locally.

In the absence of an IXP, in any country, local traffic between two service providers will by and large be exchanged internationally. In these cases an email sent from one user to another, in the same country but using different service providers, may be routed via an IXP in New York or Paris rather exchanged domestically. By way of contrast, if that traffic is exchanged locally it can be far less expensive (i.e. avoiding expensive international circuits) and provide better performance for users (e.g. in some countries avoiding satellite circuits with their inherent delays).

Some 90 countries don’t have IXP’s today. There is a map created by the Packet Clearing House which keeps count of countries with and without an IXP: https://prefix.pch.net/applications/ixpdir/summary/
IXPs are relatively inexpensive (e.g. less than USD 40 000 per IXP) to establish and can benefit all stakeholders. For less than USD 4 million each country of the world without an IXP could have one.

Such expenditure, for example, in the form of development co-operation, however, would only make sense if the conditions are in place to enable the IXP to operate efficiently and become industry driven. The main challenge is often is creating awareness of the benefits of IXPs.

and from the report
The next several billion Internet users represent a commercial opportunity rather than a burden and this should be reflected in policy approaches.

Liberalisation of communication markets focuses competitive forces on the expansion of access and affordability for the poor as well as promoting innovation applicable to local circumstances as highlighted by the recent experience of some Asian and African developing countries. Improved access and lower communication costs generate general economic and social benefits. Historically, in markets typified by monopolies and little momentum for access growth, the cost of reaching and maintaining service to low income users was not sustainable.

And on Page 12 there is a explanation of Jipp's Law which used to mean that countries could over and underinvest in telecommunications and which was used to keep investment low and prices high in accordance with the development of the economy in that region.

and on interconnection it sais:

MPP and CPP markets have both exhibited strengths and weaknesses relative to each other in thedevelopment of wireless markets. Both have shown capabilities for innovation and growth. A number of open questions for the future relate to how will both models will deal with convergence with the Internet.Will one model, for example, prove more adept at fostering innovation at the interface with the Internet? How will financial flows between countries be affected by the different termination models? Will one system lead to greater integration in service offerings between countries or networks with the same termination model irrespective of geography? Finally, if termination rates are about compensating networks for costs what explains the vast differences between charges and how will this impact on the competitiveness of countries with high termination rates?

All in all it is a must read on development of networks as it covers many angles on the subject from submarine fibre, to IXP's, to interconnection